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J1 League · Japan
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vissel Kobe host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League (Japan) on 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Vissel Kobe had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Machida Zelvia had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Vissel Kobe's last 10 and 4 of Machida Zelvia's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vissel Kobe averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Machida Zelvia averaged 2.15 scored and 0.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Vissel Kobe and 1.35 from Machida Zelvia. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 47%, against 40%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vissel Kobe (green) and Machida Zelvia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | LWWLW | 1.90 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
| Machida Zelvia | WWWWD | 2.00 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga · 24 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol · 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka · 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win @ 1.40