Home › League stats › J1 League › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse
J1 League · Japan
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League (Japan) on 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win — Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 8. Shimizu S-pulse had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 10 and 7 of Shimizu S-pulse's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sanfrecce Hiroshima averaged 2.86 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Shimizu S-pulse averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.78 from Shimizu S-pulse. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 12%, against 67%, 20% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sanfrecce Hiroshima (green) and Shimizu S-pulse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | LWWWW | 2.40 | 0.80 | 20% | 60% |
| Shimizu S-pulse | LDLWD | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga · 24 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol · 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka · 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia · 24 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36