Home › League stats › UEFA Champions League › Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League · International
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction and preview
3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villarreal host Paris Saint Germain in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Villarreal had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 12. Paris Saint Germain had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Villarreal's last 10 and 8 of Paris Saint Germain's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villarreal averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Paris Saint Germain averaged 2.00 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Villarreal and 1.59 from Paris Saint Germain. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 19%, 21% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villarreal (green) and Paris Saint Germain (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | LWWLD | 2.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Paris Saint Germain | WWWWW | 3.10 | 1.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 67% | 1.36 |
| Paris Saint Germain Win | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Paris Saint Germain HT & FT | 40% | 2.38 |
| Paris Saint Germain Win & BTTS | 35% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Villarreal form and statistics
- Paris Saint Germain form and statistics
- UEFA Champions League statistics
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Barcelona vs Aston Villa · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Bodo/Glimt vs Lille · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Feyenoord vs Inter · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Lask Linz Win @ 1.44 - Manchester United vs AS Roma · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart · 3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP · 3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44