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UEFA Champions League · International
Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction and preview
3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Old Trafford, Manchester
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Manchester United host AS Roma in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Manchester United had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. AS Roma had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 10 and 6 of AS Roma's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Manchester United averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home AS Roma averaged 2.29 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Manchester United and 1.95 from AS Roma. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 34%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Manchester United (green) and AS Roma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | LLLDL | 1.00 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
| AS Roma | WWDWW | 2.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Barcelona vs Aston Villa · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Bodo/Glimt vs Lille · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Feyenoord vs Inter · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Lask Linz Win @ 1.44 - Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart · 3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP · 3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44