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UEFA Champions League · International
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction and preview
3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · Stamford Bridge, London
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Shakhtar Donetsk had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 3. Sporting CP had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10 and 7 of Sporting CP's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Sporting CP averaged 2.11 scored and 0.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.96 from Sporting CP. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 16%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shakhtar Donetsk (green) and Sporting CP (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | WDLWW | 2.20 | 0.30 | 20% | 70% |
| Sporting CP | WWLLW | 2.00 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 64% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Champions League matches that day
- Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 - Barcelona vs Aston Villa · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Bodo/Glimt vs Lille · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Feyenoord vs Inter · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Lask Linz Win @ 1.44 - Manchester United vs AS Roma · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain · 3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart · 3 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Champions League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40