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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Victoria Września host Noteć Czarnków in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Victoria Września had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Noteć Czarnków had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Victoria Września's last 10 and 5 of Noteć Czarnków's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Victoria Września averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Noteć Czarnków averaged 1.33 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from Victoria Września and 1.20 from Noteć Czarnków. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 44%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Victoria Września (green) and Noteć Czarnków (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Września | DWDDD | 0.90 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
| Noteć Czarnków | LDLWL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.10 |
| Victoria Września Win | 40% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Victoria Września form and statistics
- Noteć Czarnków form and statistics
- III Liga - Group 2 statistics
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Stargard Szczeciński vs Grom Nowy Staw · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Kalisz vs Polonia Środa · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Bałtyk Koszalin vs Elana Toruń · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzędz · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 - Luzino vs Lech Poznań II · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43