Home › League stats › III Liga - Group 2 › Kalisz vs Polonia Środa
III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Kalisz vs Polonia Środa prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kalisz host Polonia Środa in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kalisz had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Polonia Środa had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kalisz's last 10 and 7 of Polonia Środa's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kalisz averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Polonia Środa averaged 2.00 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Kalisz and 2.65 from Polonia Środa. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 67%, against 25%, 22% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kalisz (green) and Polonia Środa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | LLWDD | 1.60 | 1.90 | 70% | 50% |
| Polonia Środa | WWWDD | 2.90 | 1.80 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| Polonia Środa Win | 51% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Stargard Szczeciński vs Grom Nowy Staw · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Bałtyk Koszalin vs Elana Toruń · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzędz · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 - Luzino vs Lech Poznań II · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43