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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland

Stargard Szczeciński vs Grom Nowy Staw prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 68%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Stargard Szczeciński host Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Stargard Szczeciński had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 20. Grom Nowy Staw had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Stargard Szczeciński's last 10 and 7 of Grom Nowy Staw's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stargard Szczeciński averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Grom Nowy Staw averaged 2.00 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Stargard Szczeciński and 1.89 from Grom Nowy Staw. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 28%, against 55%, 22% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Stargard Szczeciński (green) and Grom Nowy Staw (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence33% – 67%
Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Stargard SzczecińskiDLWDD2.602.0080%80%
Grom Nowy StawWLLWW2.502.4070%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No69%1.34
Over 2.5 Goals68%1.40
BTTS Yes67%1.38
Stargard Szczeciński Win57%1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals52%1.75
Stargard Szczeciński HT & FT43%2.16
2-19%10.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day