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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Kluczevia Stargard vs Flota Świnoujście prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kluczevia Stargard host Flota Świnoujście in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kluczevia Stargard had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Flota Świnoujście had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Kluczevia Stargard's last 10 and 5 of Flota Świnoujście's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Flota Świnoujście averaged 1.08 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Kluczevia Stargard and 1.06 from Flota Świnoujście. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 19%, against 61%, 21% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kluczevia Stargard (green) and Flota Świnoujście (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | WLLWW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Flota Świnoujście | LLLLD | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Kluczevia Stargard Win | 61% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| Kluczevia Stargard HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Kluczevia Stargard form and statistics
- Flota Świnoujście form and statistics
- III Liga - Group 2 statistics
Other III Liga - Group 2 matches that day
- Stargard Szczeciński vs Grom Nowy Staw · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Kalisz vs Polonia Środa · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Bałtyk Koszalin vs Elana Toruń · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 - Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzędz · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42 - Luzino vs Lech Poznań II · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.43