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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico

Venados FC vs Durango prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Venados FC host Durango in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 24 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Venados FC to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Venados FC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 20. Durango had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Venados FC's last 10 and 3 of Durango's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Venados FC averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Durango averaged 0.60 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Venados FC and 1.00 from Durango. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 26%. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Venados FC (green) and Durango (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 62%
Attack37% – 63%
Defence25% – 75%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Venados FCDDWWL2.102.0090%80%
DurangoWDWWW1.400.8030%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day