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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CDS Tampico Madero host CA La Paz in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, CDS Tampico Madero had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. CA La Paz had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of CDS Tampico Madero's last 10 and 8 of CA La Paz's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CDS Tampico Madero averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home CA La Paz averaged 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from CDS Tampico Madero and 1.55 from CA La Paz. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 46%, against 36%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CDS Tampico Madero (green) and CA La Paz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDS Tampico Madero | WDLLD | 1.10 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
| CA La Paz | DWLWW | 2.30 | 1.20 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · CA La Paz 1–2 CDS Tampico Madero
- 23 Apr 2026 · CDS Tampico Madero 2–0 CA La Paz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.31 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| CDS Tampico Madero Win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day
- Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG · 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 - Dorados vs Piratas · 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Venados FC vs Durango · 24 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Double Chance 1X