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Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mineros de Zacatecas host Leones Negros UDG in the Liga de Expansión MX (Mexico) on 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Mineros de Zacatecas had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Leones Negros UDG had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mineros de Zacatecas's last 10 and 8 of Leones Negros UDG's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mineros de Zacatecas averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leones Negros UDG averaged 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Mineros de Zacatecas and 2.28 from Leones Negros UDG. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 45%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mineros de Zacatecas (green) and Leones Negros UDG (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineros de Zacatecas | LDLWW | 1.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Leones Negros UDG | LDWWL | 2.20 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Mineros de Zacatecas Win | 47% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| Mineros de Zacatecas HT & FT | 32% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Mineros de Zacatecas form and statistics
- Leones Negros UDG form and statistics
- Liga de Expansión MX statistics
Other Liga de Expansión MX matches that day
- CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz · 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.45 - Dorados vs Piratas · 25 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Venados FC vs Durango · 24 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga de Expansión MX
Published pick: Double Chance 1X