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Segunda Liga · Portugal
União de Leiria vs AVS prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
União de Leiria host AVS in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, União de Leiria had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 11. AVS had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of União de Leiria's last 10 and 5 of AVS's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home União de Leiria averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home AVS averaged 1.45 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from União de Leiria and 1.16 from AVS. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 37%, against 55%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between União de Leiria (green) and AVS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | DWLWD | 1.50 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| AVS | WWWWD | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| União de Leiria Win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda Liga matches that day
- Benfica B vs Chaves · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Leixoes vs Sporting CP B · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Portimonense vs Torreense · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Torreense Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Amarante vs FC Porto B · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36