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Segunda Liga · Portugal
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leixoes host Sporting CP B in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Leixoes had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Sporting CP B had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Leixoes's last 10 and 5 of Sporting CP B's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leixoes averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sporting CP B averaged 1.30 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Leixoes and 1.58 from Sporting CP B. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 41%, against 47%, 29% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | LLLWD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 30% | 50% |
| Sporting CP B | WWWWL | 1.90 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda Liga matches that day
- Benfica B vs Chaves · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - União de Leiria vs AVS · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Portimonense vs Torreense · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Torreense Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Amarante vs FC Porto B · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36