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Segunda Liga · Portugal
Benfica B vs Chaves prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Caixa Futebol Campus, Lisbon
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Benfica B host Chaves in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Benfica B had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Chaves had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Benfica B's last 10 and 6 of Chaves's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Benfica B averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Chaves averaged 1.27 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Benfica B and 0.70 from Chaves. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 21%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda Liga matches that day
- União de Leiria vs AVS · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Leixoes vs Sporting CP B · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Portimonense vs Torreense · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Torreense Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Amarante vs FC Porto B · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36