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Segunda Liga · Portugal
Amarante vs FC Porto B prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Amarante host FC Porto B in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Amarante had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. FC Porto B had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Amarante's last 10 and 6 of FC Porto B's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Amarante averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home FC Porto B averaged 1.00 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Amarante and 1.19 from FC Porto B. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Amarante (green) and FC Porto B (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante | LLLWD | 1.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| FC Porto B | DWDLL | 1.10 | 2.10 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Amarante Win | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda Liga matches that day
- Benfica B vs Chaves · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 - União de Leiria vs AVS · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Leixoes vs Sporting CP B · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Portimonense vs Torreense · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Segunda Liga
Published pick: Torreense Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.30