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K League 1 · South Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC host Pohang Steelers in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ulsan Hyundai FC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Pohang Steelers had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ulsan Hyundai FC's last 10 and 4 of Pohang Steelers's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ulsan Hyundai FC averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pohang Steelers averaged 1.22 scored and 1.56 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Ulsan Hyundai FC and 1.18 from Pohang Steelers. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 29%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ulsan Hyundai FC (green) and Pohang Steelers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | WLLWW | 1.50 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
| Pohang Steelers | DLLWL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Pohang Steelers 0–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC
- 2 May 2026 · Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–1 Pohang Steelers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Incheon United vs Jeju United FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 - FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33