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K League 1 · South Korea
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bucheon FC 1995 host Gwangju FC in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bucheon FC 1995 had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 17. Gwangju FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bucheon FC 1995's last 10 and 7 of Gwangju FC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bucheon FC 1995 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Gwangju FC averaged 0.92 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Bucheon FC 1995 and 1.18 from Gwangju FC. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%, against 46%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bucheon FC 1995 (green) and Gwangju FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | LLLDL | 0.80 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Gwangju FC | LWDDL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Gwangju FC
- 11 Apr 2026 · Gwangju FC 0–1 Bucheon FC 1995
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Incheon United vs Jeju United FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 - FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40