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K League 1 · South Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gimcheon Sangmu FC host Daejeon Citizen in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gimcheon Sangmu FC had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Daejeon Citizen had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 10 and 8 of Daejeon Citizen's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gimcheon Sangmu FC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Daejeon Citizen averaged 1.93 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.72 from Daejeon Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 50%, against 25%, 27% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gimcheon Sangmu FC (green) and Daejeon Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | DLWDD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Daejeon Citizen | WDWDW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–2 Daejeon Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Incheon United vs Jeju United FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 - FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40