Home › League stats › K League 1 › Incheon United vs Jeju United FC
K League 1 · South Korea
Incheon United vs Jeju United FC prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Incheon United host Jeju United FC in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Incheon United to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Incheon United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Jeju United FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Incheon United's last 10 and 6 of Jeju United FC's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Incheon United averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Jeju United FC averaged 1.36 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Incheon United and 0.98 from Jeju United FC. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 30% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Incheon United (green) and Jeju United FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incheon United | DWDDL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Jeju United FC | LLWDW | 1.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Jeju United FC 3–3 Incheon United
- 25 Apr 2026 · Incheon United 1–0 Jeju United FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Incheon United Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers · 24 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40