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Serie A · Italy
Torino vs Lecce prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torino host Lecce in the Serie A (Italy) on 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Torino had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Lecce had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Torino's last 10 and 4 of Lecce's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torino averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lecce averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Torino and 1.10 from Lecce. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 30%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torino (green) and Lecce (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Torino Win | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo · 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: AS Roma Win @ 1.30 - Parma vs Bologna · 7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cagliari vs Frosinone · 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.30