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Serie A · Italy
Parma vs Bologna prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Ennio Tardini, Parma
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Parma host Bologna in the Serie A (Italy) on 7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Parma had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Bologna had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Parma's last 10 and 6 of Bologna's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parma averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bologna averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Parma and 1.29 from Bologna. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 47%, against 21%, 27% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Parma (green) and Bologna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Bologna Win | 52% | 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo · 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: AS Roma Win @ 1.30 - Cagliari vs Frosinone · 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.30 - Torino vs Lecce · 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36