Home › League stats › Serie A › Cagliari vs Frosinone
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Unipol Domus, Cagliari
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cagliari host Frosinone in the Serie A (Italy) on 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 3.5 Goals — more than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 2.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 41% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cagliari had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Frosinone had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Cagliari's last 10 and 7 of Frosinone's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cagliari averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Frosinone averaged 1.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Cagliari and 1.62 from Frosinone. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 53%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 24%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cagliari (green) and Frosinone (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo · 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: AS Roma Win @ 1.30 - Parma vs Bologna · 7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Torino vs Lecce · 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36