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Serie A · Italy
AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico, Rome
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AS Roma host Sassuolo in the Serie A (Italy) on 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is AS Roma Win — AS Roma to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AS Roma had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 16. Sassuolo had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AS Roma's last 10 and 9 of Sassuolo's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AS Roma averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sassuolo averaged 0.90 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.69 goals from AS Roma and 1.25 from Sassuolo. From that it rates a home win at 81%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 8%, against 73%, 16% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AS Roma (green) and Sassuolo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| AS Roma Win | 74% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| AS Roma 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| AS Roma HT & FT | 54% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Parma vs Bologna · 7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cagliari vs Frosinone · 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.30 - Torino vs Lecce · 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36