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Championship · Scotland
Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stenhousemuir host Raith Rovers in the Championship (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers.
Going into the match, Stenhousemuir had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Raith Rovers had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Stenhousemuir's last 10 and 3 of Raith Rovers's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stenhousemuir averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Raith Rovers averaged 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Stenhousemuir and 0.82 from Raith Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 34%, against 29%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stenhousemuir (green) and Raith Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | LWWWL | 1.10 | 0.60 | 10% | 20% |
| Raith Rovers | WWLDW | 1.50 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Raith Rovers 1–1 Stenhousemuir
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Dunfermline vs Livingston · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Inverness CT vs Arbroath · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Inverness CT Win @ 1.48 - Morton vs Queen's Park · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33