Home › League stats › Championship › Morton vs Queen's Park
Championship · Scotland
Morton vs Queen's Park prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Morton host Queen's Park in the Championship (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Morton 2–0 Queen's Park.
Going into the match, Morton had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Queen's Park had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Morton's last 10 and 4 of Queen's Park's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Morton averaged 0.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Queen's Park averaged 1.08 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Morton and 1.12 from Queen's Park. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 41%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Morton (green) and Queen's Park (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | WLLLL | 0.70 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Queen's Park | WLLLL | 0.60 | 1.60 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Queen's Park 2–1 Morton
- 18 Apr 2026 · Morton 0–0 Queen's Park
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Dunfermline vs Livingston · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Inverness CT vs Arbroath · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Inverness CT Win @ 1.48 - Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1