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Championship · Scotland
Inverness CT vs Arbroath prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Inverness CT host Arbroath in the Championship (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Inverness CT Win — Inverness CT to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Inverness CT 2–0 Arbroath.
Going into the match, Inverness CT had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Arbroath had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Inverness CT's last 10 and 4 of Arbroath's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Inverness CT averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Arbroath averaged 0.73 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Inverness CT and 0.74 from Arbroath. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 14%, against 61%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Inverness CT (green) and Arbroath (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | LWWDW | 1.40 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
| Arbroath | LLWLL | 0.70 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Arbroath 0–0 Inverness CT
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Inverness CT Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Dunfermline vs Livingston · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Morton vs Queen's Park · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1