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Premiership · Scotland
ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ST Johnstone host Dundee Utd in the Premiership (Scotland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee Utd.
Going into the match, ST Johnstone had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Dundee Utd had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of ST Johnstone's last 10 and 3 of Dundee Utd's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ST Johnstone averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Dundee Utd averaged 1.10 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from ST Johnstone and 0.81 from Dundee Utd. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 21%, against 36%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ST Johnstone (green) and Dundee Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | WDLWD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
| Dundee Utd | WWDLW | 1.20 | 1.80 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Dundee vs Rangers · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Rangers Win @ 1.40 · FT 2–2 - Aberdeen vs ST Mirren · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Hibernian vs Falkirk · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kilmarnock vs Motherwell · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53