Home › League stats › Segunda División › Sporting Gijon vs Albacete
Segunda División · Spain
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Gijon host Albacete in the Segunda División (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Gijon 2–1 Albacete.
Going into the match, Sporting Gijon had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Albacete had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sporting Gijon's last 10 and 6 of Albacete's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Gijon averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Albacete averaged 0.64 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Sporting Gijon and 0.76 from Albacete. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 14%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Gijon (green) and Albacete (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | WWLWL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 30% | 30% |
| Albacete | LLLLD | 0.60 | 2.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Las Palmas vs Castellón · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–3 - Eibar vs Mallorca · 17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Real Sociedad II vs Almeria · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44