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Segunda División · Spain
Eibar vs Mallorca prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eibar host Mallorca in the Segunda División (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Eibar 1–1 Mallorca.
Going into the match, Eibar had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Mallorca had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Eibar's last 10 and 2 of Mallorca's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eibar averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Mallorca averaged 0.50 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Eibar and 1.07 from Mallorca. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 37%, against 38%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eibar (green) and Mallorca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Las Palmas vs Castellón · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–3 - Sporting Gijon vs Albacete · 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Real Sociedad II vs Almeria · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44