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First League · Russia
Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartak Kostroma host Leningradets in the First League (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Spartak Kostroma Win — Spartak Kostroma to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartak Kostroma 2–0 Leningradets.
Going into the match, Spartak Kostroma had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Leningradets had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Spartak Kostroma's last 10 and 5 of Leningradets's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartak Kostroma averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leningradets averaged 0.87 scored and 2.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Spartak Kostroma and 0.69 from Leningradets. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 14%, against 65%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartak Kostroma (green) and Leningradets (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | WLLWW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Leningradets | WLWLD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Spartak Kostroma Win | 65% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.46 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 58% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.27 · FT 2–1 - FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 · FT 2–0 - Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva · 17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.29 · FT 1–2