Home › League stats › First League › KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik
First League · Russia
KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KAMAZ host FK Neftekhimik in the First League (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — KAMAZ to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KAMAZ 2–1 FK Neftekhimik.
Going into the match, KAMAZ had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. FK Neftekhimik had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of KAMAZ's last 10 and 4 of FK Neftekhimik's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KAMAZ averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FK Neftekhimik averaged 0.79 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from KAMAZ and 0.98 from FK Neftekhimik. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 26%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KAMAZ (green) and FK Neftekhimik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAMAZ | DWDLL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
| FK Neftekhimik | LLLDW | 0.80 | 1.70 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Jul 2026 · FK Neftekhimik 3–3 KAMAZ
- 1 Jul 2026 · KAMAZ 2–3 FK Neftekhimik
- 18 Jun 2026 · FK Neftekhimik 0–0 KAMAZ
- 10 Apr 2026 · KAMAZ 0–0 FK Neftekhimik
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| KAMAZ Win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.31 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First League
Published pick: Spartak Kostroma Win @ 1.45 - FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 · FT 2–0 - Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva · 17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.29 · FT 1–2