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First League · Russia
Enisey vs Torpedo Moskva prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Enisey host Torpedo Moskva in the First League (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Torpedo Moskva to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.29, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Enisey 1–2 Torpedo Moskva.
Going into the match, Enisey had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Torpedo Moskva had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Enisey's last 10 and 5 of Torpedo Moskva's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Enisey averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Torpedo Moskva averaged 1.71 scored and 0.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Enisey and 1.62 from Torpedo Moskva. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 56%, against 26%, 30% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Enisey (green) and Torpedo Moskva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enisey | WLDWL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Torpedo Moskva | WWDDL | 2.00 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Enisey
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 61% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.66 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Torpedo Moskva Win | 45% | 2.16 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Spartak Kostroma vs Leningradets · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · First League
Published pick: Spartak Kostroma Win @ 1.45 - KAMAZ vs FK Neftekhimik · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.27 · FT 2–1 - FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 · FT 2–0