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J2 League · Japan
Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shonan Bellmare host Tochigi City in the J2 League (Japan) on 25 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Shonan Bellmare had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Tochigi City had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Shonan Bellmare's last 10 and 7 of Tochigi City's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shonan Bellmare averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tochigi City averaged 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Shonan Bellmare and 1.19 from Tochigi City. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 33%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shonan Bellmare (green) and Tochigi City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare | DDDLD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 80% | 40% |
| Tochigi City | DDLLL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Tochigi City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Blaublitz Akita vs Imabari · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Kataller Toyama vs Consadole Sapporo · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Sagan Tosu Win @ 1.62