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J2 League · Japan
Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Albirex Niigata host Vegalta Sendai in the J2 League (Japan) on 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Albirex Niigata had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Vegalta Sendai had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Albirex Niigata's last 10 and 7 of Vegalta Sendai's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Albirex Niigata averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Vegalta Sendai averaged 1.92 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Albirex Niigata and 1.62 from Vegalta Sendai. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 42%, against 23%, 27% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Albirex Niigata (green) and Vegalta Sendai (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata | WLDWL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Vegalta Sendai | WDWWW | 2.20 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Vegalta Sendai Win | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J2 League matches that day
- Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City · 25 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata · 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Blaublitz Akita vs Imabari · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Montedio Yamagata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Oita Trinita vs Ventforet Kofu · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Kataller Toyama vs Consadole Sapporo · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe · 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · J2 League
Published pick: Sagan Tosu Win @ 1.62