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J2 League · Japan

Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe prediction and preview

25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Sagan Tosu WinOdds 1.62Market probability 58%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sagan Tosu host Vanraure Hachinohe in the J2 League (Japan) on 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sagan Tosu Win — Sagan Tosu to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Sagan Tosu had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Vanraure Hachinohe had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Sagan Tosu's last 10 and 3 of Vanraure Hachinohe's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sagan Tosu averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Vanraure Hachinohe averaged 1.23 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Sagan Tosu and 0.55 from Vanraure Hachinohe. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 11%, against 57%, 26% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sagan Tosu (green) and Vanraure Hachinohe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%
Attack36% – 64%
Defence60% – 40%
Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Sagan TosuLWWWL0.801.3050%40%
Vanraure HachinoheWDLLW0.801.5030%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1276%1.28
Over 1.5 Goals72%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals72%1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.40
Sagan Tosu Win57%1.62
BTTS No51%1.80
Under 2.5 Goals51%1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other J2 League matches that day