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League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sheffield Wednesday host AFC Wimbledon in the League One (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 AFC Wimbledon.
Going into the match, Sheffield Wednesday had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. AFC Wimbledon had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 10 and 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sheffield Wednesday averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home AFC Wimbledon averaged 0.82 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Sheffield Wednesday and 0.57 from AFC Wimbledon. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 12%, against 56%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sheffield Wednesday (green) and AFC Wimbledon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | DWWDD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| AFC Wimbledon | LDDDW | 0.70 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Sheffield Wednesday Win | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Bradford vs Stevenage · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 2–0 - Leicester vs Doncaster · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Leyton Orient vs Blackpool · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Plymouth vs Huddersfield · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–2 - Stockport County vs Bromley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.25 · FT 1–0 - Wigan vs Reading · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Wycombe vs Notts County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–0 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Peterborough vs Burton Albion · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53