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League One · England
Leicester vs Doncaster prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leicester host Doncaster in the League One (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leicester 2–1 Doncaster.
Going into the match, Leicester had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Doncaster had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Leicester's last 10 and 5 of Doncaster's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leicester averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Doncaster averaged 1.91 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Leicester and 1.07 from Doncaster. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leicester (green) and Doncaster (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
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Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.25 · FT 1–0 - Wigan vs Reading · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Wycombe vs Notts County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–0 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Peterborough vs Burton Albion · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53