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Barnsley vs Cambridge United prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barnsley host Cambridge United in the League One (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barnsley 1–2 Cambridge United.
Going into the match, Barnsley had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 27. Cambridge United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Barnsley's last 10 and 8 of Cambridge United's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barnsley averaged 1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Cambridge United averaged 1.45 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Barnsley and 1.70 from Cambridge United. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 52%, against 38%, 27% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barnsley (green) and Cambridge United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | LLLDD | 1.80 | 2.70 | 90% | 90% |
| Cambridge United | WWDWD | 1.60 | 1.10 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Bradford vs Stevenage · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 2–0 - Leicester vs Doncaster · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Leyton Orient vs Blackpool · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–0 - Plymouth vs Huddersfield · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–2 - Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stockport County vs Bromley · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Stockport County Win @ 1.25 · FT 1–0 - Wigan vs Reading · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Wycombe vs Notts County · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–0 - Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Peterborough vs Burton Albion · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53