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Super League · China
Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shandong Luneng host Hangzhou Greentown in the Super League (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shandong Luneng 5–0 Hangzhou Greentown.
Going into the match, Shandong Luneng had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Hangzhou Greentown had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Shandong Luneng's last 10 and 9 of Hangzhou Greentown's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shandong Luneng averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hangzhou Greentown averaged 1.08 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.65 goals from Shandong Luneng and 1.78 from Hangzhou Greentown. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 25%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shandong Luneng (green) and Hangzhou Greentown (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng | DDLWL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Hangzhou Greentown | LWLWD | 2.40 | 1.80 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 May 2026 · Hangzhou Greentown 4–1 Shandong Luneng
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Shandong Luneng Win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Shandong Luneng HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League matches that day
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban · 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long · 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50