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Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Qingdao Jonoon host Shenyang Urban in the Super League (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Qingdao Jonoon 0–4 Shenyang Urban.
Going into the match, Qingdao Jonoon had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 29. Shenyang Urban had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Qingdao Jonoon's last 10 and 6 of Shenyang Urban's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Qingdao Jonoon averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shenyang Urban averaged 0.92 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Qingdao Jonoon and 1.96 from Shenyang Urban. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 44%, against 15%, 19% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Qingdao Jonoon (green) and Shenyang Urban (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon | LLLLL | 0.60 | 2.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Shenyang Urban | DLLLD | 1.10 | 1.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 May 2026 · Shenyang Urban 2–1 Qingdao Jonoon
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Shenyang Urban Win | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.62 |
| Shenyang Urban HT & FT | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League matches that day
- Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Super League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long · 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50