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Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dalian Zhixing host Sichuan Jiuniu in the Super League (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dalian Zhixing 3–1 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Going into the match, Dalian Zhixing had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Sichuan Jiuniu had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dalian Zhixing's last 10 and 6 of Sichuan Jiuniu's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dalian Zhixing averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sichuan Jiuniu averaged 1.08 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Dalian Zhixing and 1.10 from Sichuan Jiuniu. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 23%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dalian Zhixing (green) and Sichuan Jiuniu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing | WWWDW | 1.50 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | DDLDW | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 May 2026 · Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Dalian Zhixing
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League matches that day
- Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Super League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban · 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long · 17 Oct 2026, 11:35 UTC · Super League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57