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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain

Sestao River vs Arosa prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Sestao River WinOdds 1.45Market probability 61%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sestao River host Arosa in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sestao River Win — Sestao River to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Sestao River had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Arosa had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Sestao River's last 10 and 7 of Arosa's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sestao River averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Arosa averaged 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Sestao River and 1.01 from Arosa. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 62%, 24% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Sestao RiverWWDWW1.700.7050%40%
ArosaWDDLD2.001.9070%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1278%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals69%1.35
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.42
Sestao River Win63%1.45
BTTS No52%1.74
Over 2.5 Goals51%1.85
Under 2.5 Goals49%1.95
Sestao River HT & FT37%2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day