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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Eibar II vs Bergantiños prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eibar II host Bergantiños in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Eibar II had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Bergantiños had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Eibar II's last 10 and 4 of Bergantiños's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eibar II averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Bergantiños averaged 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Eibar II and 1.44 from Bergantiños. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eibar II (green) and Bergantiños (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar II | DDWWW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Bergantiños | WDWWW | 2.70 | 0.80 | 40% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Eibar II Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Eibar II HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Eibar II form and statistics
- Bergantiños form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Sestao River vs Arosa · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Sestao River Win @ 1.45 - Amorebieta vs Coruxo · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Llanera vs Compostela · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.30 - Atlético Astorga vs Gernika · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Deportivo Alavés II vs Racing Santander II · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Deportivo Alavés II Win @ 1.53