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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Amorebieta vs Coruxo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Amorebieta host Coruxo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Amorebieta had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Coruxo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Amorebieta's last 10 and 7 of Coruxo's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Amorebieta averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Coruxo averaged 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Amorebieta and 0.95 from Coruxo. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | WLWLW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
| Coruxo | WLLDL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Amorebieta Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Amorebieta HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches that day
- Sestao River vs Arosa · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Sestao River Win @ 1.45 - Llanera vs Compostela · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.30 - Atlético Astorga vs Gernika · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 - Deportivo Alavés II vs Racing Santander II · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Deportivo Alavés II Win @ 1.53 - Eibar II vs Bergantiños · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25