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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Real Murcia vs Zaragoza prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Murcia host Zaragoza in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Murcia 0–0 Zaragoza.
Going into the match, Real Murcia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Zaragoza had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Real Murcia's last 10 and 5 of Zaragoza's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Murcia averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Zaragoza averaged 1.45 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Real Murcia and 1.03 from Zaragoza. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 26%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Murcia (green) and Zaragoza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | WLWLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Zaragoza | DWWWW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Real Murcia form and statistics
- Zaragoza form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Real Jaén vs Rayo Majadahonda · 18 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–0 - Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Sant Andreu vs Juventud Torremolinos · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Sant Andreu Win @ 1.62 · FT 2–2 - Real Madrid II vs Antequera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 · FT 3–2