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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain

Real Madrid II vs Antequera prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.25Market probability 75%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Real Madrid II host Antequera in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Real Madrid II 3–2 Antequera.

Going into the match, Real Madrid II had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Antequera had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Real Madrid II's last 10 and 6 of Antequera's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Madrid II averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Antequera averaged 1.14 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Real Madrid II and 1.25 from Antequera. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 51%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Real Madrid II (green) and Antequera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form42% – 58%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence46% – 54%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Real Madrid IIDWLDL1.001.0050%30%
AntequeraDDWDD1.501.3060%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1274%1.25
Under 3.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
BTTS Yes53%1.80
Real Madrid II Win52%1.75
Over 2.5 Goals52%1.80
Over 9.5 Corners50%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day