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La Liga · Spain
Racing Santander vs Espanyol prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Racing Santander host Espanyol in the La Liga (Spain) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Racing Santander had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 26. Espanyol had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Racing Santander's last 10 and 7 of Espanyol's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Racing Santander averaged 2.82 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Espanyol averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Racing Santander and 1.75 from Espanyol. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 43%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Racing Santander (green) and Espanyol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | LDLLW | 1.70 | 2.60 | 70% | 80% |
| Espanyol | LDLLW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other La Liga matches that day
- Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Valencia vs Villarreal · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Rayo Vallecano vs Elche · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · La Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25