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Segunda División · Chile
Provincial Ovalle vs General Velásquez prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Provincial Ovalle host General Velásquez in the Segunda División (Chile) on 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Provincial Ovalle 1–2 General Velásquez.
Going into the match, Provincial Ovalle had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. General Velásquez had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Provincial Ovalle's last 10 and 5 of General Velásquez's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Provincial Ovalle averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home General Velásquez averaged 0.67 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Provincial Ovalle and 1.27 from General Velásquez. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 41%, against 40%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Provincial Ovalle (green) and General Velásquez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Provincial Ovalle | LWWDD | 1.10 | 1.90 | 70% | 50% |
| General Velásquez | LLDDD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · General Velásquez 1–0 Provincial Ovalle
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Provincial Ovalle Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Provincial Ovalle form and statistics
- General Velásquez form and statistics
- Segunda División statistics
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Colina vs Santiago Morning · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 1–1 - Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo · 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 - Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido · 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.57 · FT 1–0