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Segunda División · Chile

Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 2.00Market probability 49%Final score 5–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lota Schwager host Deportes Rengo in the Segunda División (Chile) on 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 2.00, which the bookmaker market rated at about 49% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lota Schwager 5–1 Deportes Rengo.

Going into the match, Lota Schwager had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Deportes Rengo had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Lota Schwager's last 10 and 6 of Deportes Rengo's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lota Schwager averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Deportes Rengo averaged 1.56 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Lota Schwager and 1.34 from Deportes Rengo. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 28%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lota Schwager (green) and Deportes Rengo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form42% – 58%
Attack29% – 71%
Defence64% – 36%
Head-to-head13% – 88%
Goals25% – 75%
Overall strength35% – 65%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Lota SchwagerWWLDD1.401.0060%50%
Deportes RengoWWDWD2.001.1060%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals69%1.34
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.42
BTTS Yes54%1.68
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73
Under 2.5 Goals49%2.00
Lota Schwager Win48%2.05
Lota Schwager HT & FT29%3.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Segunda División matches that day